Serie A · Matchweek 19
Inter
INT
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter46%
Draw25%
Juventus28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.30
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Juventus will not mind.
65%Possession55%
48%Territory58%
29%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.