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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Inter

INT

Juventus

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter52%
Draw27%
Juventus21%

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.94

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

63%Possession57%
56%Territory44%
24%From set plays46%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness3.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 4 for Juventus.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.