Serie A · Matchweek 19
Cagliari
CAG
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari37%
Draw28%
Sassuolo35%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cagliari get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession42%
31%Territory40%
29%From set plays13%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cagliari, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.