Serie A · Matchweek 19
Bologna
BOL
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna48%
Draw28%
Genoa24%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.99
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession41%
39%Territory34%
34%From set plays14%
0.17Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Genoa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.