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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Bologna

BOL

Genoa

GEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bologna48%
Draw28%
Genoa24%

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.99

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.0%
  • 1112.5%
  • 009.6%
  • 219.2%
  • 208.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bologna will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.

54%Possession45%
40%Territory31%
9%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Genoa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.