Serie A · Matchweek 18
Venezia
VEN
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Venezia19%
Draw22%
Roma59%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.98
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Venezia will not mind.
43%Possession61%
43%Territory44%
14%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Venezia, 4 for Roma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.