Serie A · Matchweek 18
Sassuolo
SAS
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo47%
Draw24%
Udinese29%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.38
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession55%
37%Territory46%
17%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.06
4.0%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 5 for Udinese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.