Serie A · Matchweek 18
Napoli
NAP
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli59%
Draw24%
Cagliari18%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.93
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
57%Possession44%
37%Territory32%
28%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Napoli, 4 for Cagliari.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.