Serie A · Matchweek 18
Lazio
LAZ
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio26%
Draw25%
Inter50%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.78
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
47%Possession65%
41%Territory48%
21%From set plays29%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lazio, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.