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Serie A · Matchweek 18

Juventus

JUV

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus58%
Draw25%
Torino16%

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.78

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.0%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juventus will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

57%Possession44%
44%Territory31%
46%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.3%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 5 for Torino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.