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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 18

Juventus

JUV

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus69%
Draw19%
Torino11%

Expected goals

2.14 – 0.78

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.4%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 3–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession56%
58%Territory36%
30%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.0%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.