Serie A · Matchweek 18
Genoa
GEN
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genoa40%
Draw27%
Monza33%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
45%Possession55%
31%Territory45%
23%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genoa, 3 for Monza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.