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Serie A · Matchweek 18

Frosinone

FRO

Bologna

BOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frosinone35%
Draw28%
Bologna36%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.31

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 0110.1%
  • 109.9%
  • 008.7%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bologna will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.

45%Possession54%
44%Territory40%
38%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.