Serie A · Matchweek 17
Udinese
UDI
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese23%
Draw23%
Atalanta54%
Expected goals
1.31 – 2.02
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
55%Possession44%
46%Territory39%
38%From set plays15%
0.06Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Udinese, 4 for Atalanta.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.