Serie A · Matchweek 17
Torino
TOR
Venezia
VEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino51%
Draw26%
Venezia24%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.08
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession43%
31%Territory43%
25%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Torino, 5 for Venezia.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.