Serie A · Matchweek 17
Parma
PAR
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma19%
Draw27%
Napoli53%
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.51
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.1%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
42%Possession57%
36%Territory37%
34%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 4 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.