Serie A · Matchweek 17
Monza
MON
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza23%
Draw23%
Milan54%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.95
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
43%Possession56%
37%Territory31%
22%From set plays24%
0.16Chance quality0.18
4.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Monza, 4 for Milan.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.