Serie A · Matchweek 17
Inter
INT
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter72%
Draw16%
Sassuolo12%
Expected goals
2.66 – 1.06
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.1%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.5%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
65%Possession42%
48%Territory40%
29%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.