Serie A · Matchweek 17
Inter
INT
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter84%
Draw11%
Sassuolo6%
Expected goals
3.18 – 0.81
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 3–010.1%
- 2–09.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 4–07.7%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
63%Possession48%
56%Territory37%
24%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.