Serie A · Matchweek 17
Fiorentina
FIO
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina24%
Draw27%
Lazio49%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.58
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession61%
40%Territory49%
24%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 4 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.