Serie A · Matchweek 17
Bologna
BOL
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna27%
Draw30%
Juventus44%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.33
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
43%Possession57%
39%Territory44%
34%From set plays46%
0.17Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Juventus.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.