Serie A · Matchweek 17
Bologna
BOL
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna23%
Draw29%
Juventus48%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.42
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.0%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession55%
40%Territory58%
9%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.08
3.9%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.