Serie A · Matchweek 17
Roma
ROM
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma61%
Draw20%
Frosinone19%
Expected goals
2.30 – 1.27
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.2%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.
61%Possession51%
44%Territory48%
20%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 4 for Frosinone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.