Serie A · Matchweek 17
Roma
ROM
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma72%
Draw18%
Frosinone11%
Expected goals
2.36 – 0.85
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.
59%Possession45%
48%Territory44%
8%From set plays38%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Roma, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.