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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 16

Torino

TOR

Cagliari

CAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Torino41%
Draw28%
Cagliari31%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.24

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Torino will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.

56%Possession39%
36%Territory31%
12%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Torino, 3 for Cagliari. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.