Serie A · Matchweek 16
Sassuolo
SAS
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo43%
Draw28%
Parma29%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.14
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Parma get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession42%
37%Territory36%
17%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 3 for Parma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.