Serie A · Matchweek 16
Lecce
LEC
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce13%
Draw19%
Inter67%
Expected goals
0.91 – 2.21
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.8%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
42%Possession63%
41%Territory56%
31%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lecce, 4 for Inter.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.