Serie A · Matchweek 16
Lecce
LEC
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce10%
Draw16%
Inter73%
Expected goals
0.90 – 2.53
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–37.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
44%Possession65%
34%Territory48%
61%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lecce, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.