Serie A · Matchweek 16
Genoa
GEN
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genoa50%
Draw27%
Udinese23%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.01
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
41%Possession55%
34%Territory46%
14%From set plays38%
0.07Chance quality0.06
6.2%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Genoa, 5 for Udinese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.