Serie A · Matchweek 16
Frosinone
FRO
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frosinone30%
Draw26%
Lazio43%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.57
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.
51%Possession61%
48%Territory49%
16%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Frosinone, 4 for Lazio.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.