Serie A · Matchweek 16
Frosinone
FRO
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frosinone31%
Draw28%
Lazio42%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.44
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession47%
44%Territory41%
38%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.8%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.