Serie A · Matchweek 16
Fiorentina
FIO
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina46%
Draw27%
Bologna27%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.15
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession54%
49%Territory40%
11%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 3 for Bologna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.