Serie A · Matchweek 16
Atalanta
ATA
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta36%
Draw26%
Napoli38%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.51
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
44%Possession57%
39%Territory37%
15%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atalanta, 4 for Napoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.