Serie A · Matchweek 16
Roma
ROM
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma43%
Draw28%
Juventus29%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.12
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.3%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession55%
48%Territory58%
8%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Roma, 3 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.