Serie A · Matchweek 16
Roma
ROM
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma40%
Draw29%
Juventus31%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.16
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
61%Possession57%
44%Territory44%
20%From set plays46%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.6%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 4 for Juventus.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.