Serie A · Matchweek 15
Udinese
UDI
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese27%
Draw23%
Frosinone49%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.92
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession51%
45%Territory48%
45%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Udinese, 4 for Frosinone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.