Serie A · Matchweek 15
Udinese
UDI
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese43%
Draw26%
Frosinone31%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.37
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession45%
35%Territory44%
18%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.10
8.8%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Udinese, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.