Serie A · Matchweek 15
Lazio
LAZ
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio26%
Draw28%
Roma46%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.47
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–112.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
47%Possession59%
41%Territory48%
21%From set plays8%
0.15Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lazio, 3 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.