Serie A · Matchweek 15
Juventus
JUV
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus65%
Draw22%
Monza13%
Expected goals
1.92 – 0.75
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 2–012.6%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
57%Possession43%
44%Territory37%
46%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.16
3.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 4 for Monza.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.