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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Inter

INT

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter74%
Draw16%
Torino10%

Expected goals

2.52 – 0.85

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 3–09.0%
  • 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

63%Possession44%
56%Territory31%
24%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 5 for Torino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.