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Serie A · Matchweek 15

Inter

INT

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter77%
Draw14%
Torino9%

Expected goals

2.85 – 0.96

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 209.3%
  • 218.7%
  • 308.5%
  • 318.3%
  • 106.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

65%Possession56%
48%Territory36%
29%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.