Club Football Intelligence

Serie A · Matchweek 14

Sun, 6 Dec, 17:30 UTC

Venezia

VEN

17:30 UTC

Sassuolo

SAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia31%

Draw26%

Sassuolo44%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.64

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–111.3%
1–29.0%
0–18.6%
2–17.4%
1–07.0%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Venezia will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.

55%Possession42%

40%Territory40%

18%From set plays13%

0.09Chance quality0.10

5.3%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Sassuolo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Venezia

Gianluca BusioMF0G 1A 0.67/90
Ridgeciano HapsMF0G 1A 0.58/90
Akor AdamsFW1G 0A 0.50/90

Sassuolo

Darryl BakolaMF0G 1A 0.72/90
Nemanja MatićMF0G 1A 0.50/90
Armand LaurientéFW0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.