Serie A · Matchweek 14
Napoli
NAP
Lecce
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli62%
Draw23%
Lecce16%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.87
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 2–011.2%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
57%Possession42%
37%Territory41%
28%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Napoli, 4 for Lecce.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.