Serie A · Matchweek 14
Lazio
LAZ
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio51%
Draw25%
Atalanta24%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.16
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
61%Possession44%
49%Territory39%
20%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.13
3.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lazio, 4 for Atalanta.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.