Serie A · Matchweek 14
Juventus
JUV
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus68%
Draw20%
Udinese12%
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.82
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Udinese will not mind.
55%Possession41%
58%Territory35%
30%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness8.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Udinese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.