Serie A · Matchweek 14
Genoa
GEN
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Genoa42%
Draw27%
Torino31%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.25
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Torino will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
45%Possession56%
31%Territory36%
23%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Genoa, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.