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Serie A · Matchweek 14

Frosinone

FRO

Inter

INT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frosinone18%
Draw20%
Inter62%

Expected goals

1.21 – 2.27

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 0–28.0%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.

51%Possession63%
48%Territory56%
16%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.2%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Frosinone, 4 for Inter.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.