Serie A · Matchweek 14
Bologna
BOL
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna22%
Draw27%
Roma51%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.56
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 1–112.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession59%
40%Territory48%
9%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.14
3.9%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bologna
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.