Serie A · Matchweek 14
Bologna
BOL
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna29%
Draw25%
Roma46%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
43%Possession61%
39%Territory44%
34%From set plays20%
0.17Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Roma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.