Serie A · Matchweek 14
Milan
MIL
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan67%
Draw21%
Parma12%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.76
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 2–012.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
56%Possession39%
31%Territory34%
24%From set plays37%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Milan, 4 for Parma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.