Serie A · Matchweek 14
Milan
MIL
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan66%
Draw21%
Parma13%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.78
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 2–012.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
56%Possession39%
31%Territory33%
24%From set plays34%
0.18Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Milan, 4 for Parma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.