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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 13

Venezia

VEN

Bologna

BOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia30%
Draw27%
Bologna43%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.50

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bologna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession43%
43%Territory39%
14%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.4%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Venezia, 4 for Bologna.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.