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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 13

Udinese

UDI

Fiorentina

FIO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Udinese33%
Draw26%
Fiorentina41%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.58

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Udinese will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.

53%Possession45%
45%Territory39%
45%From set plays22%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Udinese, 4 for Fiorentina.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 99 matches, not the full season.