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Serie A · Matchweek 13

Torino

TOR

Lazio

LAZ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Torino27%
Draw28%
Lazio45%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.45

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–112.0%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lazio will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

44%Possession61%
31%Territory49%
25%From set plays20%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Torino, 4 for Lazio.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.