Serie A · Matchweek 13
Torino
TOR
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino29%
Draw28%
Lazio43%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.44
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Torino will have the ball; Lazio will not mind.
56%Possession47%
36%Territory41%
12%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.3%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Torino, 3 for Lazio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.