Serie A · Matchweek 13
Sassuolo
SAS
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo20%
Draw23%
Napoli56%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.90
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
48%Possession57%
37%Territory37%
17%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 4 for Napoli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.