Serie A · Matchweek 13
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter76%
Draw15%
Genoa9%
Expected goals
2.70 – 0.91
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–08.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
65%Possession45%
48%Territory31%
29%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Inter, 3 for Genoa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.