Serie A · Matchweek 13
Inter
INT
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter75%
Draw17%
Genoa9%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.70
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 3–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
63%Possession41%
56%Territory34%
24%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 4 for Genoa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.