Serie A · Matchweek 13
Frosinone
FRO
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frosinone51%
Draw27%
Parma22%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.98
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession41%
44%Territory27%
38%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frosinone, 3 for Parma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.