Serie A · Matchweek 13
Frosinone
FRO
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frosinone58%
Draw24%
Parma18%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.96
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
51%Possession39%
48%Territory34%
16%From set plays38%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Frosinone, 4 for Parma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.