Serie A · Matchweek 13
Cagliari
CAG
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari27%
Draw25%
Milan48%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.70
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.3%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
44%Possession56%
32%Territory31%
19%From set plays24%
0.13Chance quality0.18
6.2%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cagliari, 4 for Milan.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.