Serie A · Matchweek 13
Roma
ROM
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma70%
Draw18%
Monza13%
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.01
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
61%Possession43%
44%Territory37%
20%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.16
3.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 4 for Monza.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.