Serie A · Matchweek 12
Parma
PAR
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma18%
Draw24%
Roma58%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.78
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.7%
- 1–110.9%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
42%Possession61%
36%Territory44%
34%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 4 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 99 matches, not the full season.