Serie A · Matchweek 12
Parma
PAR
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma12%
Draw22%
Roma66%
Expected goals
0.73 – 1.90
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.3%
- 0–213.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
41%Possession59%
27%Territory48%
27%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 3 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.