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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 12

Napoli

NAP

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Napoli59%
Draw23%
Torino18%

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.01

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.8%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Torino will have the ball; Napoli will not mind.

46%Possession56%
49%Territory36%
22%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Napoli, 3 for Torino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.