Serie A · Matchweek 12
Napoli
NAP
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli57%
Draw24%
Torino19%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Torino will not mind.
57%Possession44%
37%Territory31%
28%From set plays25%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Napoli, 5 for Torino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.