Serie A · Matchweek 12
Lazio
LAZ
Lecce
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio61%
Draw23%
Lecce15%
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.82
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
61%Possession42%
49%Territory41%
20%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lazio, 4 for Lecce.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.