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Serie A · Matchweek 12

Bologna

BOL

Udinese

UDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bologna48%
Draw27%
Udinese25%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.08

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 1011.6%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.3%
  • 008.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bologna will have the ball; Udinese will not mind.

54%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
9%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness8.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bologna, 3 for Udinese. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.