Skip to content

Serie A · Matchweek 12

Bologna

BOL

Udinese

UDI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bologna60%
Draw22%
Udinese18%

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.05

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Udinese will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.

43%Possession55%
39%Territory46%
34%From set plays38%
0.17Chance quality0.06
4.9%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 5 for Udinese.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.