Serie A · Matchweek 12
Bologna
BOL
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna60%
Draw22%
Udinese18%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.05
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
43%Possession55%
39%Territory46%
34%From set plays38%
0.17Chance quality0.06
4.9%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 5 for Udinese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.